Knoww
Alaska Governor Election Winner
The Field
5 of 22§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins as the leading outcome, at a 86% probability across 40 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved down 3 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $1.65M in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by November 4, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (86%)
- Volume
- $1.65M
- Liquidity
- $1.20M
- Resolution date
- November 4, 2026
- Outcomes
- 40
- Last updated
- October 24, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.