Markets›Politics
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Politics prediction markets

Political events, elections, and government decisions Compare live Polymarket odds, volume, and outcome prices as trader expectations change.

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Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro61%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva39%
Renan Santos<1%
$153.20Mvol$19.82Mliq32mkts
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Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance21%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
Jon Ossoff12%
$708.17Mvol$59.82Mliq128mkts
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Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?

200-21972%
220-23928%
240-2591%
$1.89Mvol$384.38Kliq26mkts
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Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen38%
Édouard Philippe24%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%
$136.89Mvol$16.27Mliq128mkts
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Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep66%
R Senate, D House28%
Republicans Sweep7%
$13.35Mvol$1.59Mliq5mkts
Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?

Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?

December 31>99%
September 30>99%
October 31>99%
$2.74Mvol$405.34Kliq6mkts
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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
Jon Ossoff16%
Gavin Newsom13%
$1.28Bvol$75.48Mliq128mkts
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United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?

United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?

340–35498%
355+2%
$2.44Mvol$74.41Kliq7mkts
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 314%
September 30<1%
$69.29Mvol$1.21Mliq6mkts
Trump out as President by September 30?

Trump out as President by September 30?

Yes<1%
No>99%
$1.63Mvol$245.90Kliq1mkt
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes16%
No85%
$67.80Mvol$996.82Kliq1mkt
Trump x Greenland deal signed by...?

Trump x Greenland deal signed by...?

December 31>99%
September 25>99%
September 2398%
$946.71Kvol$120.04Kliq3mkts
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Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?

200-21932%
220-23925%
180-19918%
$776.49Kvol$308.63Kliq26mkts
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

December 31, 202617%
October 31, 20268%
September 30, 20262%
$2.41Mvol$215.67Kliq3mkts
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 3164%
October 3142%
September 3016%
$30.24Mvol$342.33Kliq20mkts
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Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance51%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%
Marco Rubio16%
$706.83Mvol$52.24Mliq128mkts
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Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party65%
Republican Party36%
$4.98Mvol$709.33Kliq9mkts
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Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro54%
Delcy Rodríguez45%
No Head of State<1%
$97.35Mvol$2.32Mliq57mkts
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

September 20100%
September 2595%
September 3090%
$1.88Mvol$552.56Kliq6mkts
Putin out as President of Russia by...?

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 202712%
December 31, 20264%
September 30, 2026<1%
$25.28Mvol$1.09Mliq5mkts

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Knoww›Politics
2026