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Presidential Election Winner 2028
The Field
5 of 52§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see JD Vance as the leading outcome, at a 21% probability across 128 listed outcomes. The market has traded approximately $708.20M in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by November 7, 2028.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- JD Vance (21%)
- Volume
- $708.20M
- Liquidity
- $59.76M
- Resolution date
- November 7, 2028
- Outcomes
- 128
- Last updated
- September 22, 2026
Rules and resolution
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.