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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
The Field
5 of 53§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as the leading outcome, at a 18% probability across 128 listed outcomes. The market has traded approximately $1.29B in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by November 8, 2028.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (18%)
- Volume
- $1.29B
- Liquidity
- $77.20M
- Resolution date
- November 8, 2028
- Outcomes
- 128
- Last updated
- October 11, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.