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World prediction markets

Global events, international relations, and world affairs Compare live Polymarket odds, volume, and outcome prices as trader expectations change.

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Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro61%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva39%
Renan Santos<1%
$153.20Mvol$19.82Mliq32mkts
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Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen38%
Édouard Philippe24%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%
$136.89Mvol$16.27Mliq128mkts
NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 3133%
October 3121%
$7.56Mvol$261.89Kliq6mkts
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes16%
No85%
$67.80Mvol$996.82Kliq1mkt
Trump x Greenland deal signed by...?

Trump x Greenland deal signed by...?

December 31>99%
September 25>99%
September 2398%
$946.71Kvol$120.04Kliq3mkts
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

December 31, 202617%
October 31, 20268%
September 30, 20262%
$2.41Mvol$215.67Kliq3mkts
Putin out as President of Russia by...?

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 202712%
December 31, 20264%
September 30, 2026<1%
$25.28Mvol$1.09Mliq5mkts
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Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Renan Santos42%
Augusto Cury33%
Ronaldo Caiado16%
$1.39Mvol$594.24Kliq32mkts
Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Yes4%
No96%
$13.81Mvol$491.82Kliq1mkt
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Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot53%
Benjamin Netanyahu28%
Naftali Bennett8%
$38.56Mvol$2.82Mliq28mkts
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes4%
No96%
$42.60Mvol$571.20Kliq1mkt
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Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson88%
Ulf Kristersson12%
Ebba Busch1%
$8.65Mvol$1.23Mliq36mkts
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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms13%
Save the Children10%
Yulia Navalnaya8%
$24.44Mvol$1.50Mliq71mkts
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Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Flávio Bolsonaro70%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva30%
Renan Santos<1%
$7.71Mvol$1.93Mliq32mkts
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Giorgia Meloni100%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy100%
Xi Jinping100%
$1.12Mvol$257.96Kliq27mkts
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

Yes18%
No83%
$207.93Kvol$30.91Kliq1mkt
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Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China70%
No meeting by December 3127%
United States2%
$1.21Mvol$739.92Kliq15mkts
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Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Lula da Silva <5%52%
Flávio Bolsonaro <5%29%
Lula da Silva 5-10%12%
$563.80Kvol$408.27Kliq11mkts
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes7%
No94%
$26.23Mvol$700.48Kliq1mkt
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Quebec General Election Winner

Quebec General Election Winner

PQ92%
CAQ8%
PLQ2%
$1.01Mvol$210.40Kliq33mkts

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2026