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Next Prime Minister of Sweden
The Field
5 of 10§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Magdalena Andersson as the leading outcome, at a 76% probability across 36 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved down 1 percentage point. The market has traded approximately $10.41M in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by September 14, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Magdalena Andersson (76%)
- Volume
- $10.41M
- Liquidity
- $1.03M
- Resolution date
- September 14, 2026
- Outcomes
- 36
- Last updated
- October 25, 2026
Rules and resolution
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.