Markets›Tech
20markets

Tech prediction markets

Technology launches, AI, startups, and platform shifts Compare live Polymarket odds, volume, and outcome prices as trader expectations change.

NR
Next Claude Opus released on...?

Next Claude Opus released on...?

September 2277%
September 2311%
September 247%
$286.66Kvol$59.71Kliq16mkts
Anthropic lab leak by...?

Anthropic lab leak by...?

June 30, 20277%
December 31, 20264%
$97.46Kvol$207.26Kliq2mkts
NR
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Anthropic99%
Company A50%
Company B50%
$3.73Mvol$1.52Mliq32mkts
NR
Largest Company end of December 2026?

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA76%
Apple15%
Alphabet7%
$7.48Mvol$1.31Mliq28mkts
NR
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Anthropic71%
OpenAI14%
Google10%
$1.38Mvol$993.07Kliq26mkts
Next Claude Opus released by...?

Next Claude Opus released by...?

October 3199%
December 3198%
September 3097%
$280.83Kvol$21.11Kliq10mkts
NR
Largest Company end of September?

Largest Company end of September?

NVIDIA99%
Company F50%
Company G50%
$2.12Mvol$998.36Kliq25mkts
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202782%
December 31, 202652%
September 30, 202610%
$262.98Kvol$33.67Kliq3mkts
NR
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Alibaba89%
Other50%
Company A50%
$568.12Kvol$101.32Kliq25mkts
NR
Next GPT Sol Model (5.7+) released on...?

Next GPT Sol Model (5.7+) released on...?

On or prior to September 2242%
September 2322%
September 2422%
$12.59Kvol$15.79Kliq15mkts
OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

December 31, 202920%
December 31, 202816%
December 31, 20278%
$60.64Kvol$1.07Mliq3mkts
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

December 31>99%
October 3199%
September 30<1%
$1.07Mvol$62.79Kliq6mkts
NR
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

047%
132%
212%
$143.41Kvol$57.99Kliq6mkts
Next GPT Sol Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

Next GPT Sol Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

1450+67%
1460+28%
1470+27%
$9.32Kvol$4.77Kliq4mkts
NR
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

OpenAI70%
Other50%
Company A50%
$173.04Kvol$38.73Kliq30mkts
NR
Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?

Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?

Paramount96%
None by June 30, 20273%
Comcast<1%
$1.28Mvol$101.66Kliq15mkts
NR
Will Claude go down on __ days in September?

Will Claude go down on __ days in September?

5-776%
8-1022%
11-131%
$17.36Kvol$8.24Kliq5mkts
Trump renames AI by September 30?

Trump renames AI by September 30?

Yes8%
No92%
$12.55Kvol$16.21Kliq1mkt
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

1500+73%
1505+60%
1510+42%
$89.10Kvol$9.35Kliq5mkts
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

Yes9%
No91%
$34.31Kvol$25.23Kliq1mkt

All 20 markets shown

Knoww›Tech
2026