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Next GPT Sol Model (5.7+) released on...?
The Field
5 of 15§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see On or prior to September 22 as the leading outcome, at a 61% probability across 15 listed outcomes. The market has traded approximately $14.28K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by September 23, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- On or prior to September 22 (61%)
- Volume
- $14.28K
- Liquidity
- $21.75K
- Resolution date
- September 23, 2026
- Outcomes
- 15
- Last updated
- September 22, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Sol model (5.7+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Sol" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Sol would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Sol or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Sol" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Luna, or GPT-6 Astra (released September 4, 2026), will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.