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Largest Company end of December 2026?
The Field
5 of 8§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see NVIDIA as the leading outcome, at a 76% probability across 28 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved up 5 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $7.48M in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- NVIDIA (76%)
- Volume
- $7.48M
- Liquidity
- $1.33M
- Resolution date
- January 1, 2027
- Outcomes
- 28
- Last updated
- September 22, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.