KnowwLive prediction-market odds
Every market below shows a live probability implied by real trades on Polymarket. Prices move as traders react to news, so the odds you see reflect what people are willing to stake right now — not a poll or a pundit's call.
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§ Reading the odds
How to read prediction-market odds
What the odds mean
Each market's price is a probability. A Yes share trading at 62¢ implies a 62% chance the event happens: shares pay $1 if the outcome occurs and nothing if it doesn't, so the price is what traders collectively believe that $1 claim is worth.
How probabilities update
Every market runs on a live order book. When news breaks, traders buy and sell, and the price — the probability — moves with them in real time. Odds here update continuously while a market is open, not on a polling schedule.
Probability, volume, and liquidity
Probability is the current price of the leading outcome. Volume is how much has been traded in total — a rough gauge of how much attention and conviction a market has drawn. Liquidity is how much can be traded right now without moving the price. High-volume, high-liquidity markets tend to carry more reliable odds.
How markets resolve
Each market defines its outcome and resolution criteria up front. When the real-world result is known, the market settles through Polymarket's resolution process (backed by the UMA optimistic oracle): winning shares redeem for $1, losing shares expire worthless.
Market data comes from live Polymarket order books. Prediction markets involve real money and prices can move quickly; nothing on this page is financial advice.