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OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?
The Field
3§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see December 31, 2029 as the leading outcome, at a 20% probability across 3 listed outcomes. The market has traded approximately $60.64K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2030.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- December 31, 2029 (20%)
- Volume
- $60.64K
- Liquidity
- $884.27K
- Resolution date
- January 1, 2030
- Outcomes
- 3
- Last updated
- September 22, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.