Knoww
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
The Field
5 of 31§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms as the leading outcome, at a 13% probability across 71 listed outcomes. The market has traded approximately $24.44M in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by October 10, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms (13%)
- Volume
- $24.44M
- Liquidity
- $1.50M
- Resolution date
- October 10, 2026
- Outcomes
- 71
- Last updated
- September 22, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
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Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.