Knoww
Quebec General Election Winner
The Field
5 of 6§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see PQ as the leading outcome, at a 92% probability across 33 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved up 9 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $1.01M in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by February 1, 2027.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- PQ (92%)
- Volume
- $1.01M
- Liquidity
- $210.10K
- Resolution date
- February 1, 2027
- Outcomes
- 33
- Last updated
- September 22, 2026
Rules and resolution
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.