Knoww
Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?
The Field
5§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see October 31 as the leading outcome, at a >99% probability across 6 listed outcomes. The market has traded approximately $2.77M in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by October 31, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- October 31 (>99%)
- Volume
- $2.77M
- Liquidity
- $398.06K
- Resolution date
- October 31, 2026
- Outcomes
- 6
- Last updated
- September 22, 2026
Rules and resolution
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.