
Ballon d'Or Winner 2025
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. Ousmane Dembele was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $28.47M in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- Ousmane Dembele (100%)
- Volume
- $28.47M
- Resolution date
- October 26, 2025
- Outcomes
- 26
- Last updated
- July 20, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to winner of the 2025 Ballon D’Or. If no 2025 Ballon D’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.