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Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
The Field
5 of 19§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Harry Kane as the leading outcome, at a 77% probability across 89 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved up 3 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $58.49M in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by October 27, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Harry Kane (77%)
- Volume
- $58.49M
- Liquidity
- $13.00M
- Resolution date
- October 27, 2026
- Outcomes
- 89
- Last updated
- October 22, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolution source: https://www.francefootball.fr/
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.