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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10AM ET
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. Up was the final outcome after closing at a 100% probability. The market traded approximately $30.35K in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- Up (100%)
- Volume
- $30.35K
- Resolution date
- October 4, 2026
- Last updated
- October 5, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.