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Bulgaria Presidential Election
The Field
5 of 14§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Iliana Iotova as the leading outcome, at a 86% probability across 40 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved down 2 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $1.48M in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by October 26, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Iliana Iotova (86%)
- Volume
- $1.48M
- Liquidity
- $1.27M
- Resolution date
- October 26, 2026
- Outcomes
- 40
- Last updated
- October 23, 2026
Rules and resolution
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Resolution source: https://www.cik.bg/
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
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Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.