Markets/Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

$34.35MVolJun 3039 mkts0 open · 39 closed

§ Market context

About this market

This market is resolved. ↓ $90 was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $34.35M in total volume.

Status
Resolved
Final outcome
↓ $90 (100%)
Volume
$34.35M
Resolution date
June 30, 2026
Outcomes
39
Last updated
August 13, 2026

Rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

Resolution source: https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.html

Data source and freshness

Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.

Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.