Markets/Economy/How many Fed rate cuts this year?
How many Fed rate cuts this year?

How many Fed rate cuts this year?

$49.44MVolDec 317 mkts0 open · 7 closedNeg Risk

§ Market context

About this market

This market is resolved. 4 (100 bps) was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $49.44M in total volume.

Status
Resolved
Final outcome
4 (100 bps) (100%)
Volume
$49.44M
Resolution date
December 30, 2024
Outcomes
7
Last updated
December 19, 2024

Rules and resolution

This is a market on the expected number of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts occurring within the current calendar year.

Data source and freshness

Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.

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Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.