Knoww
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. No was the final outcome after closing at a 100% probability. The market traded approximately $49.75M in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- No (100%)
- Volume
- $49.75M
- Resolution date
- January 31, 2026
- Last updated
- June 17, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.