Knoww
MLB: 2026 American League Champion
The Field
2§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Tampa Bay Rays as the leading outcome, at a 54% probability across 16 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved up 13 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $4.82M in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by December 1, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Tampa Bay Rays (54%)
- Volume
- $4.82M
- Liquidity
- $186.86K
- Resolution date
- December 1, 2026
- Outcomes
- 16
- Last updated
- October 14, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.