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MLB: 2026 American League Champion
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. Tampa Bay Rays was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $4.91M in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- Tampa Bay Rays (100%)
- Volume
- $4.91M
- Resolution date
- December 1, 2026
- Outcomes
- 16
- Last updated
- October 21, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.