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MotoGP World Champion (2026)
The Field
5 of 8§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Marc Marquez as the leading outcome, at a 76% probability across 46 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved up 3 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $26.24K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by November 29, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Marc Marquez (76%)
- Volume
- $26.24K
- Liquidity
- $14.30K
- Resolution date
- November 29, 2026
- Outcomes
- 46
- Last updated
- October 17, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the rider who wins the 2026 MotoGP World Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed rider to win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from title contention), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MotoGP season is cancelled, postponed after December 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no World Champion crowned within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from MotoGP / the FIM (https://www.motogp.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.motogp.com
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.