Knoww
Nothing Ever Happens: October
§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently assign a 94% probability to Nothing on this market. This is the live price of the leading outcome, and it moves as traders buy and sell. The market has traded approximately $4.78K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by October 31, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Nothing (94%)
- Volume
- $4.78K
- Liquidity
- $18.55K
- Resolution date
- October 31, 2026
- Last updated
- October 8, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - Bitcoin all time high - Any G7 leader out (Carney, Macron, Merz, Meloni, Takaichi, Burnham, Trump) - US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire - Putin out as President of Russia - Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president - Fed rate cut - Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed - Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_Oct_26.pdf
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.