Knoww
Precipitation in Hong Kong in October?
The Field
5 of 7§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see 70-120mm as the leading outcome, at a 97% probability across 7 listed outcomes. The market has traded approximately $60.00K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by January 8, 2027.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- 70-120mm (97%)
- Volume
- $60.00K
- Liquidity
- $6.08K
- Resolution date
- January 8, 2027
- Outcomes
- 7
- Last updated
- October 25, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between October 1 and October 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in October 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.