Knoww
Precipitation in NYC in October?
The Field
5 of 6§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see <3" as the leading outcome, at a 95% probability across 6 listed outcomes. The market has traded approximately $42.67K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by January 8, 2027.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- <3" (95%)
- Volume
- $42.67K
- Liquidity
- $8.82K
- Resolution date
- January 8, 2027
- Outcomes
- 6
- Last updated
- October 25, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between October 1 and October 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for October 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of October 2026. If the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.