Knoww
Precipitation in Seoul in October?
The Field
5 of 7§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see 50-70mm as the leading outcome, at a 39% probability across 7 listed outcomes. The market has traded approximately $36.22K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by January 8, 2027.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- 50-70mm (39%)
- Volume
- $36.22K
- Liquidity
- $6.10K
- Resolution date
- January 8, 2027
- Outcomes
- 7
- Last updated
- October 17, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in October, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of October at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of October 2026. If the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.