Knoww
What foods will Trump mention in October?
The Field
4§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Cake as the leading outcome, at a 41% probability across 13 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved down 10 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $5.62K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Cake (41%)
- Volume
- $5.62K
- Liquidity
- $109
- Resolution date
- November 1, 2026
- Outcomes
- 13
- Last updated
- October 25, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term between October 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
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Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.