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What will Kevin Warsh say during October Press Conference?
The Field
5 of 20§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Good Day as the leading outcome, at a 94% probability across 20 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved up 1 percentage point. The market has traded approximately $5.43K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by October 28, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Good Day (94%)
- Volume
- $5.43K
- Liquidity
- $8.60K
- Resolution date
- October 28, 2026
- Outcomes
- 20
- Last updated
- October 25, 2026
Rules and resolution
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on October 28, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.