Knoww
What will the median home value in New York City be on December 31?
The Field
5 of 7§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see $458K - $471K as the leading outcome, at a 26% probability across 7 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved down 1 percentage point. The market has traded approximately $23.69K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by January 11, 2027.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- $458K - $471K (26%)
- Volume
- $23.69K
- Liquidity
- $9.69K
- Resolution date
- January 11, 2027
- Outcomes
- 7
- Last updated
- October 18, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on December 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/58)
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.