
Who will be named in newly released Epstein files in 2025?
§ Market context
About this market
Trading on this market has ended, but settlement is still pending. Jay-Z finished as the leading outcome at a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $21.82M in total volume.
- Status
- Trading closed
- Final leading outcome
- Jay-Z (100%)
- Volume
- $21.82M
- Resolution date
- December 31, 2025
- Outcomes
- 40
- Last updated
- January 2, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration (including any federal court) publicly releases previously unreleased files pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein which contain any mention of the listed individual between July 16 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only previously unreleased files which contain novel material not previously available to the public will qualify. Documents that are merely re-released, have had redactions removed, repackaged, or newly publicized versions of already available information do not qualify. Any mention of the listed individual in connection with Jeffrey Epstein will qualify, regardless of if connected to nefarious or illegal activities. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading has ended, so the figures above reflect the final trading state while settlement remains pending. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.