
Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?
§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see 1M+ as the leading outcome, at a 5% probability across 2 listed outcomes. The market has traded approximately $544.09K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- 1M+ (5%)
- Volume
- $544.09K
- Liquidity
- $6.77K
- Resolution date
- January 1, 2027
- Outcomes
- 2
- Last updated
- October 11, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy Incorporated or Michael Saylor officially announce that the company’s total Bitcoin holdings are equal to or greater than the number specified in the title at any point by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings. For reference, MicroStrategy’s reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases
Resolution source: https://www.strategy.com/purchases
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.