Knoww
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...?
§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see December 31 as the leading outcome, at a 78% probability across 3 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved up 6 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $1.21M in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- December 31 (78%)
- Volume
- $1.21M
- Liquidity
- $691
- Resolution date
- January 1, 2027
- Outcomes
- 3
- Last updated
- October 8, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy is removed from either the MSCI World Index or the MSCI USA Index at any point by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” If MicroStrategy is transferred between indexes (e.g., from MSCI World to another MSCI index), that will also count as a removal for the purposes of this market. An official MSCI announcement of removal or transfer will be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution. The resolution source will be official MSCI communication or a consensus of credible reporting.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.