Knoww
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. No was the final outcome after closing at a 100% probability. The market traded approximately $23.32M in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- No (100%)
- Volume
- $23.32M
- Resolution date
- April 29, 2025
- Last updated
- May 1, 2025
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point between January 20, 2025, ET and April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.