Knoww
Will Variational launch a token by ___ ?
The Field
3§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see December 31, 2026 as the leading outcome, at a 87% probability across 6 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved up 7 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $469.87K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- December 31, 2026 (87%)
- Volume
- $469.87K
- Liquidity
- $2.61K
- Resolution date
- January 1, 2027
- Outcomes
- 6
- Last updated
- October 25, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Variational officially launches a governance token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Variational (https://x.com/variational_io), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution source: https://x.com/variational_io
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
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Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.