
2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship Winner
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. Sam Soverel was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $235.98M in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- Sam Soverel (100%)
- Volume
- $235.98M
- Resolution date
- December 31, 2025
- Outcomes
- 104
- Last updated
- December 20, 2025
Rules and resolution
The 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship will premiere on Peacock this fall (https://www.pokernews.com/news/2025/07/national-heads-up-poker-championship-return-49301.htm). This market predicts which player will win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player wins the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship is canceled or not completed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 pm ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final players agree to a prize‑money chop, this market will resolve based on the player who is awarded the official tournament trophy. The primary resolution source for this market will be Peacock, along with streaming coverage on PokerGO and PokerStars. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.