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F1 Drivers' Champion
The Field
5 of 6§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Kimi Antonelli as the leading outcome, at a 98% probability across 32 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved up 1 percentage point. The market has traded approximately $204.68M in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by December 6, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Kimi Antonelli (98%)
- Volume
- $204.68M
- Liquidity
- $765.81K
- Resolution date
- December 6, 2026
- Outcomes
- 32
- Last updated
- October 24, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.