
2026 Montgomery County Judge Election Winner
The Field
2§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Mark Keough as the leading outcome, at a 96% probability across 29 listed outcomes. The market has traded approximately $47.57K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by November 4, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Mark Keough (96%)
- Volume
- $47.57K
- Liquidity
- $59.25K
- Resolution date
- November 4, 2026
- Outcomes
- 29
- Last updated
- October 8, 2026
Rules and resolution
The 2026 Montgomery County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Montgomery County, TX. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Montgomery County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Montgomery County.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.