Knoww
2026 NCAA Tournament Winner
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. Michigan was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $27.38M in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- Michigan (100%)
- Volume
- $27.38M
- Resolution date
- April 4, 2026
- Outcomes
- 90
- Last updated
- August 13, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.