
2026 World Chess Championship: Winner
The Field
2§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Javokhir Sindarov as the leading outcome, at a 74% probability across 13 listed outcomes. The market has traded approximately $120.43K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Javokhir Sindarov (74%)
- Volume
- $120.43K
- Liquidity
- $574.88K
- Resolution date
- January 1, 2027
- Outcomes
- 13
- Last updated
- October 14, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 World Chess Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 World Chess Championship per the rules of FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 World Chess Championship tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.