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3rd Largest Company end of October?
The Field
5 of 9§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Alphabet as the leading outcome, at a 54% probability across 29 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved down 8 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $94.53K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Alphabet (54%)
- Volume
- $94.53K
- Liquidity
- $93.55K
- Resolution date
- November 1, 2026
- Outcomes
- 29
- Last updated
- October 24, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.