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Anthropic IPO by __?
The Field
5 of 7§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see December 31, 2026 as the leading outcome, at a 80% probability across 10 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved up 3 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $3.70M in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by July 1, 2027.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- December 31, 2026 (80%)
- Volume
- $3.70M
- Liquidity
- $204.22K
- Resolution date
- July 1, 2027
- Outcomes
- 10
- Last updated
- September 22, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.