Knoww
Argentina Presidential Election Winner
The Field
5 of 19§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Javier Milei as the leading outcome, at a 56% probability across 64 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved down 1 percentage point. The market has traded approximately $825.74K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by October 25, 2027.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Javier Milei (56%)
- Volume
- $825.74K
- Liquidity
- $875.46K
- Resolution date
- October 25, 2027
- Outcomes
- 64
- Last updated
- October 8, 2026
Rules and resolution
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Resolution source: https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.