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Bolivia Presidential Election
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. Rodrigo Paz was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $28.37M in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- Rodrigo Paz (100%)
- Volume
- $28.37M
- Resolution date
- October 19, 2025
- Outcomes
- 31
- Last updated
- March 22, 2026
Rules and resolution
General elections are scheduled to take place in Bolivia on 17 August 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.