Markets/Politics/Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District

$61.79KVolOct 540 mkts0 open · 13 closedNeg Risk

§ Market context

About this market

This market is resolved. Flavio Bolsonaro was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $61.79K in total volume.

Status
Resolved
Final outcome
Flavio Bolsonaro (100%)
Volume
$61.79K
Resolution date
October 5, 2026
Outcomes
40
Last updated
October 6, 2026

Rules and resolution

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Federal District, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Federal District. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Federal District. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Resolution source: https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/

Data source and freshness

Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.

Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.