Knoww
CA-12 House Election Winner (Individual)
The Field
2§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Lateefah Simon as the leading outcome, at a 95% probability across 6 listed outcomes. The market has traded approximately $5.83K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by November 4, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Lateefah Simon (95%)
- Volume
- $5.83K
- Liquidity
- $44.86K
- Resolution date
- November 4, 2026
- Outcomes
- 6
- Last updated
- October 16, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolution source: https://www.fec.gov/
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.