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Chile Presidential Election
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. José Antonio Kast was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $86.07M in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- José Antonio Kast (100%)
- Volume
- $86.07M
- Resolution date
- November 16, 2025
- Outcomes
- 32
- Last updated
- December 16, 2025
Rules and resolution
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Chile on November 16, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the vote outright, a second round of elections will be scheduled. This market will resolve to the candidate that wins this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Chilean Government, specifically the Chilean Electoral Service (Servicio Electoral de Chile, Serval) (https://www.servel.cl/).
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.