Markets/Politics/Closest state in the Presidential election?
Closest state in the Presidential election?

Closest state in the Presidential election?

$93.91MVolNov 512 mkts0 open · 12 closedNeg Risk

§ Market context

About this market

This market is resolved. Wisconsin was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $93.91M in total volume.

Status
Resolved
Final outcome
Wisconsin (100%)
Volume
$93.91M
Resolution date
November 5, 2024
Outcomes
12
Last updated
December 18, 2024

Rules and resolution

This is a market on which state will have the closest results in the upcoming Presidential election.

Data source and freshness

Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.

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Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.