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Biden D-Nom replacement?
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. Kamala Harris was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $22.56M in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- Kamala Harris (100%)
- Volume
- $22.56M
- Resolution date
- August 22, 2024
- Outcomes
- 26
- Last updated
- August 7, 2024
Rules and resolution
This is a market on the likelihood of Joe Biden being replaced as the Democratic nominee for the presidential election.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.