Markets/Politics/Electoral College Margin of Victory?
Electoral College Margin of Victory?

Electoral College Margin of Victory?

$116.21MVolNov 417 mkts0 open · 17 closedNeg Risk

§ Market context

About this market

This market is resolved. GOP by 65-104 was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $116.21M in total volume.

Status
Resolved
Final outcome
GOP by 65-104 (100%)
Volume
$116.21M
Resolution date
November 4, 2024
Outcomes
17
Last updated
November 11, 2024

Rules and resolution

This is a market on the anticipated margin of victory in the Electoral College for the upcoming presidential election.

Data source and freshness

Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.

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Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.